Kerajaan BN akan mengalami kemerosotan dan Pas kehilangan Kelantan
1 Comments Published by TasekPauh Blogspot on Monday, December 03, 2007 at 10:11 PM.
Ini laporan AFP!
Malaysian ruling party to suffer poll losses: experts
WASHINGTON, AFP - Malaysia’s ruling party is expected to suffer losses in elections expected early next year as it grapples with rare street protests and racial and ethnic tensions, experts told a forum here.
But Prime Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi’s National Front coalition government should maintain its two-thirds majority in parliament unbeaten since independence in 1957, they said.
Unprecedented street protests demanding electoral reforms and highlighting racial discrimination erupted in the Malaysian capital Kuala Lumpur this month, posing one of the biggest challenges to Abdullah since he took over from the largely authoritarian and abrasive Mahathir Mohamad in 2003.
“I think that even with the parameters shifting at this particular juncture, it is extremely difficult for the opposition to break the barrier of the two thirds. Period,” said Bridget Welsh, a Southeast Asian expert at John Hopkins University.
Opposition parties in Malaysia, she said, did not provide a viable alternative electorally as they were still very personality driven and ideologically divided with limited capacity in terms of “real representation and aspect of governance.”
The National Front secured the largest majority in about three decades, sweeping 198 parliamentary seats to the combined opposition parties’ 20 seats, in the last elections held in 2004.
Aside from rising prices and other economic issues, race, religion and ethnic concerns are going to matter considerably in the next elections, she said.
Pek Koon Heng, an expert on Chinese politics in Malaysia from American University, highlighted dissatisfaction over an affirmative action policy favoring majority Muslim Malays over other races.
Many ethnic Chinese and Indians feel the time has come for a review of the New Economic Policy, framed after bloody race riots in 1969, after studies showed that Malays have already achieved the target of 30% corporate ownership.
But the government last year introduced another benchmark - household income—to measure Malay progress in an indication that the controversial policy would remain at least up to 2020, Pek said.
“There is a lot of unease about how the New Economic Policy is measured. With the uncertainty—the moving targets—it (the policy) can go on forever,” Pek said.
“Although they accept the policy ... because we need political stability but then to subject generations and generations of Malaysians to the policy, they say, ‘sometimes we need to do something about this.’”
Malaysian ruling party to suffer poll losses: experts
WASHINGTON, AFP - Malaysia’s ruling party is expected to suffer losses in elections expected early next year as it grapples with rare street protests and racial and ethnic tensions, experts told a forum here.
But Prime Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi’s National Front coalition government should maintain its two-thirds majority in parliament unbeaten since independence in 1957, they said.
Unprecedented street protests demanding electoral reforms and highlighting racial discrimination erupted in the Malaysian capital Kuala Lumpur this month, posing one of the biggest challenges to Abdullah since he took over from the largely authoritarian and abrasive Mahathir Mohamad in 2003.
“I think that even with the parameters shifting at this particular juncture, it is extremely difficult for the opposition to break the barrier of the two thirds. Period,” said Bridget Welsh, a Southeast Asian expert at John Hopkins University.
Opposition parties in Malaysia, she said, did not provide a viable alternative electorally as they were still very personality driven and ideologically divided with limited capacity in terms of “real representation and aspect of governance.”
The National Front secured the largest majority in about three decades, sweeping 198 parliamentary seats to the combined opposition parties’ 20 seats, in the last elections held in 2004.
But Welsh predicted Abdullah’s United Malays National Organization (UMNO), the Front’s lynchpin, could lose up to 15 parliamentary seats in upcoming polls and its senior coalition partner the Malaysian Chinese Association (MCA) could drop about six seats.
“The reality is electorally, the only place he has to go is down because he has 91% of the seats and it is very hard to go much higher,” she said.
The fundamentalist Pan-Malaysia Islamic Party (PAS), which rules Malaysia’s northeastern state of Kelantan, also has a “good chance” of losing the only opposition held state to UMNO amid an influx of new voters, she said.
Aside from rising prices and other economic issues, race, religion and ethnic concerns are going to matter considerably in the next elections, she said.
Pek Koon Heng, an expert on Chinese politics in Malaysia from American University, highlighted dissatisfaction over an affirmative action policy favoring majority Muslim Malays over other races.
Many ethnic Chinese and Indians feel the time has come for a review of the New Economic Policy, framed after bloody race riots in 1969, after studies showed that Malays have already achieved the target of 30% corporate ownership.
But the government last year introduced another benchmark - household income—to measure Malay progress in an indication that the controversial policy would remain at least up to 2020, Pek said.
“There is a lot of unease about how the New Economic Policy is measured. With the uncertainty—the moving targets—it (the policy) can go on forever,” Pek said.
“Although they accept the policy ... because we need political stability but then to subject generations and generations of Malaysians to the policy, they say, ‘sometimes we need to do something about this.’”
Citing an opinion poll conducted this year, she said the Chinese in Malaysia were “least satisfied with the economic conditions and Prime Minister Abdullah’s leadership and most likely to vote for the opposition.”
The ethnic Indians are also discontented. At least 8,000 of them defied police warnings and held rare protests in Kuala Lumpur earlier this week against what they see as racial discrimination.
Police beat them with batons and used tear gas and water cannon to disperse the rally.
Welsh said the protests were a critical “test” for Abdullah’s coalition government.
A key problem in the government is “the rising dominance of UMNO and Malay chauvinism of UMNO (which) do not listen to the other voices within the coalition,” she said. – published by GulfTimes on 2nd Dec 07.
The ethnic Indians are also discontented. At least 8,000 of them defied police warnings and held rare protests in Kuala Lumpur earlier this week against what they see as racial discrimination.
Police beat them with batons and used tear gas and water cannon to disperse the rally.
Welsh said the protests were a critical “test” for Abdullah’s coalition government.
A key problem in the government is “the rising dominance of UMNO and Malay chauvinism of UMNO (which) do not listen to the other voices within the coalition,” she said. – published by GulfTimes on 2nd Dec 07.
Assalamualikum wbh Saudara,
Saya seorg rakyat Malaysia yg ingin melihat Malaysia diperintah oleh BA (Saya juga bukan ahli sebarang parti politik tapi boleh mengundilah), saya merayu pihak BA (DAP,PKR,PAS) menggunakan satu lambang dlm pilihanraya, saya sering membaca harakahdaily, sekurang2 ada 3 surat pembaca mencadangkan BA gunakan satu lambang, ini salah satu bentuk surat tersebut
Cadangan lambang termudah dlm masa yg suntuk ini ialah BERSIH, saya harap PAS ambil serius cadangan ini
Guna satu lambang BA dalam kempen, kertas undi
Din Umar
Fri | Feb 08, 08 | 10:44:47 pm MYT
Sudah tiba masanya pembangkang mewujudkan satu simbol dan nama dalam kempen pilihan raya umum kali ini.
Gunakan satu bendera, satu jenama dan satu kertas undi. Sun Tze, seorang ahli falsafah China pernah berkata, "Know the enemy, you have won half the enemy you have won half the battle."
Siapakah musuh politik BA? Politik BA. Sudah tahu siapa musuh itu, maka kenalilah mereka.
Apa yang mereka buat? Apakah modus operandi mereka? Apakah yang telah mereka pamerkan? Gunakanlah taktik musuh ini untuk menawan musuh.
Apa lagi...Segera gunakan satu logo, satu bendera dan satu lambang kertas undi.
Secara psikologi, rakyat nampak pasti gah dan terpikat dengan kegagahan parti alternatif. Nampak besar, nampak kuat kesannya, amat mendalam dan berpengaruh dari segi matematiknya. Sudah nampak besar, lawan besar barulah ada tandingannya.
Kalau kita masih menggunakan nama parti masing-masing, sampai bila-bila pun kita tidak akan menang. Ini kerana, rakyat suka tengok benda yang kuat. Kalau tidak kuat dan tidak gagah, semua orang tidak mahu bergantung.
Ubah. ke arah yang lebih relevan dengan zaman sekarang. Ubahlah dari parti negeri kepada parti global. --- aba.
http://www.harakahdaily.net/bm/index.php/surat-pembaca/guna-satu-lambang-ba-dalam-kempen-kertas-undi.html